A fake polling website skewed some of the polling averages for the recent primaries.
- Why did he do it?
- He says it wasn't because he had Polymarket bets (though that would explain it).
- Apparently it's just because he wanted to see if he could.
- It used to be that the activation energy for this kind of thing was orders of magnitude too high to do unless you had a direct incentive.
- Polymarket etc now make a direct incentive for this kind of thing, while LLMs make the cost of doing it collapse by orders of magnitude.
- The bar to clear is tiny, and can be as small as "I dunno, I just wanted to see what would happen."
- Hold onto your butts!