A useful strategic frame: "In 5 years what's the chance we don't have ?"

· Bits and Bobs 5/26/26
  • A useful strategic frame: "In 5 years what's the chance we don't have [foo]?"
    • Instead of "when should we add foo," invert it.
    • Often, the answer is, "effectively zero."
    • If that's the case, then foo is an inevitability.
    • That means you can start thinking of how to plan around it now.
    • "Given that we'll have foo in the future, what small tweaks to our data model or roadmap will make it less challenging when we get to it?"
    • Sometimes that means pulling forward work a bit, or laying a very small stub that can blossom into the full thing.
    • The inversion makes what was an amorphous question snap into clarity.