At scale, weak but consistent signal is more convincing than strong but inconsistent signal.

· Bits and Bobs 4/6/26
  • At scale, weak but consistent signal is more convincing than strong but inconsistent signal.
    • It's hard to fake to have every component just happen to consistently be pointing in a given direction.
    • Imagine that someone has to interfere with the signal to fake it.
    • That cost goes up with the number of places they have to interfere.
    • If everything points in the same direction, that implies there's some fundamental process driving that alignment beneath the surface.
    • All it takes is one or two examples to invalidate such a hypothesis.
    • This process can help you discover massive but hidden forces.