Consensus mechanisms don't produce innovation.

· Bits and Bobs 3/10/25
  • Consensus mechanisms don't produce innovation.
    • Innovation is surprising, outside the distribution, at the edge between consensus and chaos.
    • Consensus mechanisms can only give innovative results if there's a specific consistent bias in all of the components.
    • Imagine telling a room of creative people to individually come up with wacky ideas.
    • Then you take all of the ideas and average them together.
    • What you'd get is… the centroid, again!
    • Everyone was being creative, but they were doing it in random directions away from the center, so the average is still the center.
      • Also the average is likely to not even be a coherent or viable answer in the first place.
    • But now imagine you imparted a consistent bias to the creative process.
      • "Come up with creative ideas that build on a vibe from the Whole Earth Catalog applied to modern games."
    • The bias is now consistent, which means that when you average it all out, you get something away from the centroid, and possibly itself innovative.
    • This intuition applies to brainstorming with a group of people, but also any time you're using an LLM.
    • An LLM is effectively a planetary scale consensus mechanism, so it's especially important to give them a specific bias in your prompt to get them to innovate.

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