If you have a thing you know will almost certainly exist and be important in 3 years, you don't need to do a TAM analysis, sometimes it's just "in three years, if this succeeds as we realistically expect it to, would we high five?" and if so, then do it!

· Bits and Bobs 2/20/24

The hard part about this is the "realistically" part.

It's important to make sure you actually have a grounded understanding of the reality, and aren't just taking your own kayfabe too seriously.