Knowledge grows from cycles of conjecture and criticism.

· Bits and Bobs 3/10/25
  • Knowledge grows from cycles of conjecture and criticism.
    • (Apparently this is an idea from David Deutsch.)
    • That is, form a mental model, a hypothesis.
    • Then expose that hypothesis to disconfirming evidence, for example ground truthing it.
    • Guess and check.
    • The disconfirming evidence gives you the information necessary to update your hypothesis to make it more accurate.
    • If you don't make a guess, then there's nothing to check, nothing to update.
    • Contexts where you can just passively absorb don't require you to form a hypothesis that can be tested.
    • It's easy to create environments that require active engagement in this loop:
      • Try to do the thing (instead of just reading about it).
      • Engage in a discussion with someone about the thing (being forced to actively distill your passively absorbed intuition).
      • Play a game that uses the concepts.

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