Prediction and reflection are two sides of the same coin.

· Bits and Bobs 8/17/26
  • Prediction and reflection are two sides of the same coin.
    • They are both about making a model of the world.
    • Prediction is about modeling into the future.
    • Reflection is about abducting a model from the past.
    • A model gives you leverage; it helps you take actions that are far more likely to succeed.
    • When you are dealt in, you have a model of it.
    • You aren't just spectating or going with the flow, you are in the loop, inside of it, absorbed by it, ready to make a decision in it.
    • This is the difference of being in the arena vs a spectator.