There's a tension between complexity of your model and accuracy.

  • There's a tension between complexity of your model and accuracy.
    • The more complexity you add, the more you overfit.
    • You explain what you see well, but also over-explain noise.
    • You're now overfit, poorly fit to novel inputs.
    • If you update your model by n bits it had better give you more than n bits of accuracy or you're falling behind.