30 chunks · 22 episodes
...e early stage it will be more about hill-finding and novelty generating. In the late stage it will be more about hill-climbing, centralization, optimization.
...d also changing slowly enough to mostly cohere. This is only really possible in late stage ecosystems where a stable, viable thing has already sublimated out of the chaos. If you try to do this at too high of a pace layer, the overall meta ...
...m, then it too gets too far to the other direction, loses momentum (this is the late stage period when everything feels static) and then starts pulling back in the original direction. The people who are doing the bundling or unbundling are ...
The late stage of a paradigm is extremely boring. All of the requisite variety in the system has been slurped up into the small number of hyper gravity wells. There...
What is this paradigm of computing that we're currently in the late stage of? It's not the "web" paradigm, because the web has faded to a background player. Omnipresent but dull and uninteresting. It's not the "app" paradig...
...e possible to have done for you. But also, kind of ridiculous how saturated and late stage we are. In a few conversations I've joked about how we're to the stage where there are "Vertical Saas for funeral parlors"... and someone said, "oh m...
...t simply won't fit! The Silicon Valley tech scene is heavily optimized for this late stage vertical Saas world.
"Late stage" means when the system has gotten hyper optimized to the point of brittleness. Absurd outcomes. Flattening nuance into a small number of legible dime...
...less. The robber baron era. Highly centralized, highly extractive. We're in the late stage of the app paradigm.
...t makes money" An era of factory farming, efficiency, and consolidation. In the late stage, aggregators figure out how to use those efficient patterns to create a world unto themselves. I don't think of the web/app era as two eras, I think ...