Certainty and correctness are orthogonal.

2024-05-06 · Bits and Bobs 5/6/24

If you refuse to see disconfirming evidence you can be very certain.

If you are incorrect, then at some point the real world will knock you out of the game.

The more powerful you are in that context, the longer this will take.

But at some point the real world will catch up to you.

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