Emergent things will happen in the system, whether you think about them or not.

The systems that have truly kafkaesque outcomes are often composed entirely of people who are individually very smart... and know it.

This is the phenomenon described in The Smartest Guys in the Room.

If you know you're not smart in a given context, you'll be on the lookout for ways you're wrong.

If you think you're smarter than everyone else, you won't seek out as much disconfirming evidence.

More threats will become "dogs that didn't bark" kinds of threats, creating an overall more dangerous situation.