I hear that TSMC has a "big red button" to destroy their fabs if China were ever to invade.
- I hear that TSMC has a "big red button" to destroy their fabs if China were ever to invade.
- The belief that such a button exists would be a game theoretic deterrent to invasion.
- But one thing that it presumes: there will be an invasion, with a discontinuous moment where it makes sense to hit the big red button.
- Imagine instead a "boil the frog" situation.
- China slowly ramps up blockades on exports, incrementally over multiple years.
- There's no obvious time to hit the big red button.
- But the result is that as the boa constrictor tightens it has more and more power.