Individually authentic signals often combine into powerful distillations, even if they're noisy.

· Bits and Bobs 8/11/25
  • Individually authentic signals often combine into powerful distillations, even if they're noisy.
    • As long as the signal is authentic–it is from the actual desire of the individual–then it is trustworthy.
      • Contrast this with a signal that has an incentive to be performative, to signal something even if it's not their authentic desire.
    • If there is a consistent bias to what individual want, then the signals will tend to align, and if you multiply them all together, the noise drops out and the signal remains.
    • This is true as long as the bias is consistent, no matter the magnitude of the noise.
    • This is why the Bitter Lesson emerges.
    • A few places this shows up:
      • In the web, the vast majority of links on web pages were put there by humans asserting, "this other page is potentially worth visiting", which can then be distilled into PageRank.
      • In search engines, the user's queries are for their own benefit, so consistent patterns can be used as ranking signals (like the proportion of [images of foo] to [foo] queries as a signal of image intent).
      • In business transactions freely entered into, both parties agree that there is a useful exchange of value, which allows an emergent signal of price that reveals deep insight about relative value of things in practice.
    • This authentic, non-performative alignment of individual actions is one of the ingredients in all auto-cohering systems.

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