Once you start having a narrative for an evolving phenomena, every additional thing you sense you'll interpret into the narrative.
- Once you start having a narrative for an evolving phenomena, every additional thing you sense you'll interpret into the narrative.
- Things that don't fit, you'll be structurally more likely to ignore as noise.
- But the noise you ignore might collectively be structured enough to suggest that the model / narrative is wrong.
- Theory coevolves with raw experience.
- Be wary of putting on blinders too early in the process of model construction.
- We're never done constructing models; the world is not static and continues to change.
- Just because the model has been a good one for the past ten years does not mean it will continue to work just as well in the next ten years.
- The longer it's worked, the more likely it will continue to work, but it can never be perfect; there's an invisible asymptote it's approaching.