Be careful about blindly following your early adopters.

· Bits and Bobs 2/3/25
  • Be careful about blindly following your early adopters.
    • The early adopters can pull you in weird, random directions.
    • A mental model to get the underlying dynamic:
      • Imagine an underlying distribution of points with 0.7 correlation.
      • Imagine adding one point from the distribution at a time randomly and drawing the line of best fit.
      • At the beginning the line will jump randomly with every new point.
      • When you get to the 1000th point, the line will barely move.

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