Someone this week pointed out that after WWII we ran a natural experiment.

· Bits and Bobs 6/23/25
  • Someone this week pointed out that after WWII we ran a natural experiment.
    • We had 8 million extra productive people show up all at once, with only a month to plan what to do with them.
    • Also, everyone could agree that we should trust those people because they had put their lives on the line for the country.
    • This discontinuity plus broad trust allowed something miraculous to happen.
    • We extended credit to everyone and the economy boomed.
    • If you give cheap credit, you need to believe that the people it's given to will be worth it.
    • It's an emergent social imaginary; if everyone doesn't believe it then it's not true, but if everyone does, it is.
    • WWII created the external alignment, discontinuous and broad.
    • Today it would be very hard to do.
    • If you have a slow drip of people of the same age and ability, but they're playing video games and the older generation thinks they're just losers, no one gives them credit.
    • What if we just all agreed to believe in all of the young people at once?
    • How could we make that happen?

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