Surprise means the model was wrong.
Surprise is precious.
It's disconfirming evidence.
Use it to make the model stronger and you're antifragile.
From other episodes
- When ego is fused to mission, disconfirming evidence becomes existentially explosive.2026-04-13
- When you're in an environment that requires consensus building, you are forced to be able to see all sides.2026-03-30
- The ability and willingness to absorb disconfirming evidence is a superpower.2026-03-17
- When you're mad your body looks for more confirming evidence of why you're right to be mad.2025-12-22
- Skeptical and curious is a powerful combination.2025-12-15
- An LLM can be used as a devil's advocate with no shame and infinite patience.2025-12-08
- There is structurally less qualitative user research than there should be.2025-10-20
- Increased sousveillance structurally selects for docility and polarization.2025-10-13