The first microprocessors went into calculators.
...nowable. Afterwards, it feels obvious, like it's impossible to unsee. The first LLMs are like word calculators. We haven't come up with word computers.[fb]
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...nowable. Afterwards, it feels obvious, like it's impossible to unsee. The first LLMs are like word calculators. We haven't come up with word computers.[fb]
Stratechery: "it seems likely that LLMs have already generated more text than all of humanity ever has; the reason I cannot know is the same reason why it hasn't left a mark: AI content is ...
A key question about a system: does it work without LLMs? Are LLMs just lubrication for the system? Or are they the fundamental enabler? LLMs are expensive and slow. Systems that use them as lubrication can...
...one to make bots to create the appearance of momentum. Especially in the age of LLMs. Keep that in mind when you see what looks like momentum.
...llowed out things are about unthinking execution. "Just turn the crank faster." LLMs applied naively just turn the crank faster. It's even more important than ever before that the crank is attached to something resonant!
Centralization + LLMs + Authoritarianism will be an explosive combination. LLMs aren't going anywhere. The push towards authoritarianism might be hard to reverse in the sh...
To use LLMs to their fullest potential today requires working in the terminal. If you aren't using tools like Claude Code every day, you will have no idea what t...
A friend points out that code is better seen as an exoskeleton to LLMs' muscle. Exoskeleton is both support and containment. LLMs benefit from both. LLMs aren't great at constraints, but old-school code is great at it.
...el performance is clearly seeing a plateau. But the interesting applications of LLMs are just at the very beginning.
... never noticed that "trade is good" is downstream of these assumptions. But for LLMs these assumptions don't obviously hold. LLMs have infinite patience. Agents that use the same model also have precisely the same capabilities. This c...
Last week I talked about humans at "liability meatbag" for LLMs. Also known, in any system, as a "liability sink." I like Ethan Mollick's colorful frame: "sin eater." The entity that eats the sin allows progress t...
...se statistics in whatever way is natural to it. The affordances that humans and LLMs need might be disjoint.
...ociety is "all of the model providers have to compete and none of them win" for LLMs. Great for everyone but the LLM model providers, who are in a never-ending red ocean battle. But the rest of us benefit from the significant competit...
Deterministic code and LLMs both have a place.[fk] Asking an LLM to do a thing computers are already good at is expensive, inefficient, and fragile. Deterministic Code is like a...
...f quality, a pitch becomes a "phish". Humans can't often get to that point, but LLMs with extensive memories can do it "Conman" comes from "confidence man", where they gain your confidence it's all principal agent problems all the way...
...ide: do we slide further into cynicism and nihilism, turbocharged? Or do we use LLMs to reboot the industry, to come home to the hacker ethic we lost?
...ations have emotional states? This Hacker News comment parodying the "I believe LLMs may have functional emotions in some sense": "I believe Anthropic may have functional emotions in some sense. Not necessarily identical to human emot...
...ms that can be reframed as coding problems will be able to be easily tackled by LLMs. LLMs are great at coding, and will only get better. It's so easy to create ground-truthed synthetic data that the major labs are doing a ton of it. ...
...ght, you don't just shrug and say "that'll never work, I'll just write it off." LLMs give up more easily on software problems than humans might. "Meh, it's fine, just leave it." A version of the principal agent problem.
The quality of LLMs is model + harness. Model quality is getting saturated. The differential quality comes from the harness now. It's gotten way harder to do a vibecheck...