If there were an AI bubble pop, would it leave lots of cheap GPUs?

· Bits and Bobs 8/31/26
  • If there were an AI bubble pop, would it leave lots of cheap GPUs?
    • There's an obvious analogy to Web 1.0.
    • There was a massive build out of fiber capacity, ahead of demand.
    • After the crash, that fiber was laying in the ground, waiting to be bought up and used.
    • Google and others bought up significant amounts of dark fiber.
    • Could the same thing happen to GPUs?
    • The expensive part of fiber is the glass in the ground, not the electronics on the ends.
    • Once the glass is laid, it keeps working in perpetuity.
    • It's easy to upgrade the same fiber to carry significantly more data by upgrading the electronics.
    • GPUs, on the other hand, depreciate quickly with heavy use.
    • A provider with a lot of GPUs on hand could have them sit dark so they don't depreciate… but then they'd be competing against more powerful GPUs in future generations.
    • Dark GPUs don't seem to work like Dark Fiber.
    • Still, we're severely supply constrained on GPUs, so maybe it will be fine.

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