Mass protests erupt when there's a general anger simmering and then an inciting incident causes a cascade.
- Mass protests erupt when there's a general anger simmering and then an inciting incident causes a cascade.
- The inciting incident forms a schelling point that has to stand out as obviously beyond the pale to get to the critical mass where the compounding anger can accumulate on its own.
- But a flood the end zone with shit strategy aims for a confusing background mess.
- Nothing stands out as obviously the thing to coordinate around because there's lots of candidates.
- It's like a three stooge syndrome model of gumming up coordination.
- Coordination happens not due to the absolute magnitude of the signal but the prominence of it, the differential strength of it compared to alternatives.
- The one bit of good news is that if the anger is strong enough a cascade is inevitable, just hard to predict when it will explode onto the scene.