32 chunks · 31 episodes
I want a tool that detects when the stars have aligned.[st][su] There are some times that the stars align. For example your friend who you haven't seen in awhile happens to be free and in town on the same weekend you are. Or your favorite band from your college years is playing at the local venue. I
Is it noise or is it innovation? Which anomalous data is worth paying attention to often comes down to a matter of taste. If you can figure out in a general way which is which, then the universe would be your oyster.
...bly. How can you induce the pull? Induce the wave you then surf. To anybody not paying attention it looks like you just got lucky.
Imagine watching someone do a bunch of random, kind of sloppy actions. Then, unexpectedly, magic happens. In a flash you realize: this person was not flailing, but doing intentional, precisely controlled steps the whole time. A perfectly executed magic trick. Every seemingly random movement was dial
...ue to fundamental asymmetries inherent to the medium and what people prioritize paying attention to. For example, on Instagram people are far more likely to share pictures that make them look cool, happy, interesting, or successful. As a result, ...
...t on the far edge of the adjacent possible. You look magic to people who aren't paying attention. "He just plucked that out of thin air!" When something goes from outside the adjacent possible to inside the adjacent possible, it's a discontinuity...
...on. Even when it does come true, it will be so indirect that people who weren't paying attention will say "well that was going to happen anyway" or "I didn't see you do any heroic action that directly caused that, you just got lucky" Another exam...
Even with LLMs doing note-taking all the time, it still doesn't create tons of value. Part of the value of note-taking is transmitting the information into the future. But another part of the value of note-taking is deciding what information to keep. If you keep all of the information, you get a cac
A pattern to build a high quality community: a sublime mess that is public at the entrance to the community. A high taste thing that looks messy People who don't look closely will not pay attention because it's messy. But the people who take the time to look closely will find a thing that blossoms i
For a thing to have direct impact it has to have either big numbers or a compounding curve. But either is sufficient to mean it is impactful. Big numbers means it's already impactful. Compounding curve (as long as the asymptote is still far away) means that it will be big numbers soon. Humans tend t
... do well in those exceptional circumstances will decline (because they won't be paying attention), in proportion with how exceptional they are. Still, at least the moral incentive is aligned. The AI will not say "hi". It might not look like anyth...
...Google Doc comment on a detail is a good way of demonstrating "I am engaged and paying attention, because I am even spotting small things in the details". In the limit though the performative, superficial aspect of "I'm paying attention" dominate...