A red queen race only happens if you're playing the same game.
A red queen race only happens if you're playing the same game. The way to win the game is to transcend the game.
19 chunks · 13 episodes
A red queen race only happens if you're playing the same game. The way to win the game is to transcend the game.
Intelligence augmentation is so powerful that everyone will be compelled to use it. Even if you don't want to. If you don't, you'll get outcompeted by people who do. Luckily it's not performance enhancing drugs. But it does still have the red queen dynamic.
...o start because it's superficially enjoyable and addictive. But now you're in a red queen race that you can't opt out of, lest you fall behind. "I like this superficially but also if I stop I will die." A maximum loop that is impossible to get ...
One red queen race possibility for the age of agentic AI: a race to get individual superpowers. Everyone gets an edge over their peers if they apply AI more effectively...
...to get an edge tactically on everyone. Run their OODA loop just a bit faster. A red queen race situation that we all lose.
...w that others who are doing it will lap you. The infinite possibility creates a red queen race.
...opt out they will be left behind. If they opt in they will have to join in on a red queen race. The former see coding as a means to create cool and valuable things. The latter see coding as an end, because people will pay you to do it.
Stuart Russell claims that the CEOs of AI labs are in a red queen race they want to stop but can't. They are bound by their fiduciary duty to continue pushing, since the other model providers are too. One apparently told...
Red queen races only show up with roughly-matched competitors. For example, the hacker vs security professionals cat-and-mouse game. It's a never-ending upward spir...
Biology is a red queen race that can't ever stop. Something that finds something radically better will quickly dominate. Over time it saturates, and then later becomes brittle a...
As a company, raising venture capital is a red queen race. It locks you on a hyper-growth-or-bust trajectory. Even if you don't want to get on that trajectory, if your competitor does it, they will dominate ...
...me, ignore the externalities." Zero-sum perspective. Nothing builds. It's all a red queen race. Eat or be eaten.
As humans, our need for control is what forces us to short-termism. A red queen race to be more short term than everyone else, to beat the competitors to the short-term prize.
...ation, more people will need to rely on LLMs to decode it. That could lead to a red queen race where communication is just as hard, but now LLMs are a required part of it. An equilibrium of misery. If you add another lane to a highway, it makes...
Moonshot's goal: "an optimal solution to convert energy into intelligence." There's something very pure about that goal. But maybe they should add the word "useful" in front of intelligence. You could imagine having two LLMs that require huge amounts of compute locked in an infinite debate spiral ab
This week I learned about the Machiavellian Hypothesis. That the reason our brains got so big was a runaway competition. Everyone has an incentive to have a slight edge over their competitor to outwit them. But the ability to outwit a competitor is relative, so as your competitor does it too, you ha
Winner-take-all dynamics leads to exploitative situations. If you as the powerful entity don't exploit, someone else will and you'll write yourself out of the game. The red queen dynamic: a game everyone hates but everyone is forced to play.
In a race with network effects if you don't play the red queen race, your competitor won't just edge you out, they will eat you. In a situation without network effects, you might fall marginally behind your competitor...
...atiable boss. But even the people who created the algorithm work for it. It's a red queen race for engagement, in a fierce battle with other providers with clear network effects. Step off the treadmill and you will be left in the dust before yo...