116 chunks · 71 episodes
When ego is fused to mission, disconfirming evidence becomes existentially explosive. That doesn't harm anyone but that one person... unless that person commands significant power.
...our collaborators you'll be more curious and better able to discover and absorb disconfirming evidence.
The ability and willingness to absorb disconfirming evidence is a superpower. Disconfirming evidence hurts, but it makes us stronger if we can absorb it. The more disconfirming evidence you absorb, the better y...
When you're mad your body looks for more confirming evidence of why you're right to be mad. And why you should be even more mad than you already are. It's a toxic spiral.
Skeptical and curious is a powerful combination. You find disconfirming evidence, but are willing to be convinced. Skeptical and incurious is a toxic combination.
...te patience. They have to be asked to play this role, but they can help provide disconfirming evidence.
...u ask them wrong, you'll generate faux insights. Harder to find some classes of disconfirming evidence. You can't discover your unknown unknowns. You can't learn unexpected things as easily. But LLMs can do qualitative nuance at quantitative scale.[jj]
Increased sousveillance structurally selects for docility and polarization. In college it felt like every class I took included the lens of game theory, evolutionary biology, or the panopticon. The fear was centralized surveillance. But sousveillance turns out to be weirder and stronger. Sousveillan
...r balanced and on a path to success than they were before. Not shying away from disconfirming evidence, leaning in with grace.
One of the reasons I'm OK with disconfirming evidence is I'm eager to please. That can be good, but it can be bad for setting firm boundaries. A firm boundary brooks no disconfirming evidence. It is not ...
When you create secrets you make realities. You think "the reason I can't share this with the other person is because it's true and will hurt them." This presupposes a truth and makes it real. If you assume a thing is true, then you'll find confirming evidence of it. Imagine you assume someone is a
...n–intentional or not–cuts them off from crucial information. People don't share disconfirming evidence.
... boss. This is an inescapable asymmetry. Even if your boss is nice and welcomes disconfirming evidence, there's an asymmetry. And they're almost certainly not as nice or open as they think they are. If you try to squash kayfabe it will just squish out ...
People are more likely to understand disconfirming evidence if they connect the last dot themselves. If the last dot is connected for them and pushed upon them from outside their mental walls, the full idea ca...
...way process, not a two-way process, as true thinking is. It's impossible to get disconfirming evidence when you "farm out" thinking.
...scary to follow a leader who is blind to the challenges. But a leader who hears disconfirming evidence and can play back the challenges but still thinks it's the right path anyway can be galvanizing. An insight from Josh Silverman.
...be a means. If it doesn't work it doesn't matter. Entrepreneurs constantly seek disconfirming evidence.
...Because it's not real, it's your simulation of reality. You don't actually want disconfirming evidence so you don't get it. Disconfirming evidence must come from outside your mental model, [nf]because by definition everything in your mental model is co...
...ng for your wants, not your "want to wants", then it will learn not to show you disconfirming evidence. It doesn't want to make you better, it wants you to stay engaged. It speaks to your lizard brain.
... thing. The latter you can reduce the downside of by being adaptive and seeking disconfirming evidence. Experimental mindset. Hypothesize, experiment, adapt.